Supplier operations command center
Predictsupplier delaysbefore they stopproduction.
Supply Signal turns supplier messages, ERP data, inventory, and work orders into live recovery decisions for high-mix manufacturers.
Live exceptionSD-240
SupplierPOPartWork order
Stockout probability81%P90 receipt Aug 8
Recommended recoveryAir freight 300 unitsResidual risk 12%
Live operating picture
The numbers buyers need before they chase another supplier.
Prioritized by revenue and downtime
14 openRisk queue
CriticalSD-240Aster Motion
ETAP50 Aug 2StockoutJul 29Prob.81%Exposure$460K
Next actionAir partial
CriticalHSG-C41Northline Cast
ETAP50 Jul 31StockoutJul 25Prob.91%Exposure$310K
Next actionMove WO
HighBR-118Toyo Bearing
ETAP50 Aug 6StockoutAug 3Prob.67%Exposure$180K
Next actionPlant B transfer
HighPCB-772Mint PCB
ETAP50 Aug 9StockoutAug 5Prob.58%Exposure$126K
Next actionSplit lot
MediumCAB-48Flex Harness
ETAP50 Aug 10StockoutAug 8Prob.42%Exposure$65K
Next actionMilestone ask
LowFAN-21Delta Fan
ETAP50 Aug 15StockoutNoneProb.11%Exposure$0
Next actionMonitor
Selected risk
81%Servo drive SD-240
Stockout81%
RequestedJul 27
Supplier saysJul 30
Model P50Aug 2
Model P90Aug 8
First shipment600-800
ConfidenceMedium
Raw materialMachiningTestingInspectionPackedPickup
Recovery optimizer
Next best action
RecommendedAir freight 300 units
$3.2K spend reduces risk to 12% and protects $460K.
Air freight 300 units$3,20012%Approve
Transfer 250 from Plant B$85018%Review
Alternate supplier bridge$7,4009%Blocked
Resequence work orders$1,10036%Draft
BOM to customer chain
Impact graph
01Aster Motion
02PO 44081
03SD-240
04WO-1841
05Customer A
Work orders3
Units short310-470
Customer ship risk2 orders
Four-week exposure
Material heatmap
PartPlantW1W2W3W4
SD-240A91764118
HSG-C41A88826022
BR-118B44673912
PCB-772C52583016
Evidence and policy
Agent reasoning
Supplier emailTesting is not completeLow commitment
Receipt historyUsually ships 5d after testDelay signal
Work orderWO-1841 starts Jul 30Revenue risk
PolicyExpedite under $5K allowedApproval ready
Operating loop
From unstructured supplier signal to controlled execution.
Sense
Email, ASN, ERP, portal, and freight events are normalized into PO-line state.
Predict
Arrival, quantity, partial shipment, and stockout distributions update continuously.
Trace
Shortages are mapped through BOMs, work orders, customers, and revenue.
Resolve
Expedites, transfers, substitutes, and resequencing are ranked by cost and risk.
Prediction layer
Four forecasts, one decision surface.
Inbound ETA
P10 / P50 / P90 receipt datesSupplier history, milestones, route, part family
Quantity risk
Partial shipment probabilityOrder size, supplier capacity, prior short-ship behavior
Stockout
Daily shortage probabilityUsable stock, demand, quality holds, reservations
Recovery
Best action by residual riskCost, constraints, approvals, production impact
System of action
Works above the tools manufacturers already use.
EpicorNetSuiteInforDynamicsSAP B1Procurement inboxWMSFreight trackingSupplier portalsBOMQuality holdsWork orders
Autonomy
Start conservative. Earn more control.
01ObservePredict risks and recommend actionsHuman review
02CommunicateDraft supplier questions and follow-upsHuman review
03ExecuteSend routine reminders and request ASNsPolicy gated
04BoundedCreate low-risk transfers and expedite proposalsPolicy gated
Model and business metrics
Measured on outcomes, not demos.
Past-due PO lines-22%
Shortage warning time+6.4d
Expedite spend-14%
Buyer follow-up hours-38%
Accepted recommendations71%
P90 calibration89%
First deployment
One plant. Direct-material POs. Shortage prevention.
Open POs, receipts, inventory, BOMs, work orders, and procurement inbox.
P50/P90 arrival, partial shipment risk, stockout probability, affected orders.
Draft supplier questions, recommend recovery, record approved updates.